France vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
FRA
2 - 1
SCO
66%
18%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
YUG
3 - 2
FRA
82%
11%
8%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
FRA
7 - 3
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1958 |
FRA
0 - 0
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1958 |
FRA
2 - 2
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1958 |
NIR
2 - 1
CSK
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
BRD
2 - 2
NIR
85%
9%
6%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
ARG
3 - 1
NIR
85%
10%
6%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
NIR
1 - 0
CSK
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1958 |
WAL
1 - 1
NIR
60%
19%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |