France vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.5%
12.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
AUT
1 - 2
FRA
76%
13%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
FRA
3 - 1
GER
38%
22%
41%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 1952 |
POL
2 - 1
FRA
44%
21%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1952 |
BEL
1 - 2
FRA
63%
17%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
FRA
3 - 0
POR
59%
18%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1952 |
SCO
1 - 1
NIR
77%
14%
9%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1952 |
NIR
2 - 2
ENG
24%
20%
56%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1952 |
WAL
3 - 0
NIR
71%
15%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1951 |
ENG
2 - 0
NIR
88%
8%
4%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
NIR
0 - 3
SCO
34%
22%
44%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |