France vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
49.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
SCO
2 - 0
FRA
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
NED
4 - 1
FRA
64%
17%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
FRA
3 - 3
BEL
72%
15%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1948 |
GBR
1 - 0
FRA
50%
20%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1948 |
FRA
2 - 1
IND
72%
15%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1949 |
NOR
1 - 4
ENG
33%
20%
47%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
ENG
58%
18%
25%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1949 |
ENG
1 - 3
SCO
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1948 |
ENG
6 - 0
SUI
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1948 |
ENG
1 - 0
WAL
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | +1 |