France vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
IRL
3 - 2
FRA
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
BEL
2 - 0
FRA
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1981 |
FRA
1 - 3
BRA
27%
27%
47%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
FRA
3 - 2
BEL
57%
25%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
NED
1 - 0
FRA
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
NED
3 - 0
BEL
62%
23%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
NED
2 - 2
IRL
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1981 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
25%
27%
48%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
CYP
0 - 1
NED
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
NED
1 - 0
FRA
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |