France vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1947 |
ENG
3 - 0
FRA
80%
12%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
FRA
1 - 0
POR
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
FRA
3 - 1
AUT
32%
21%
47%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
POR
2 - 1
FRA
55%
20%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
FRA
3 - 0
CSK
39%
22%
39%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1947 |
BEL
1 - 2
NED
39%
20%
41%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1947 |
NED
2 - 1
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1946 |
ENG
8 - 2
NED
74%
14%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1946 |
BEL
2 - 2
NED
38%
21%
42%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
NED
6 - 3
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |