France vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
37.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
FRA
2 - 0
SWE
32%
21%
47%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1935 |
SUI
2 - 1
FRA
60%
18%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1935 |
FRA
2 - 0
HUN
32%
21%
47%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
BEL
1 - 1
FRA
59%
18%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
FRA
1 - 3
GER
35%
21%
44%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1935 |
IRL
3 - 5
NED
46%
21%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
NED
3 - 0
DEN
55%
20%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1935 |
NED
0 - 1
ENG
39%
21%
40%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
BEL
0 - 2
NED
43%
21%
37%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
NED
4 - 2
BEL
70%
15%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |