France vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
38.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1921 |
BEL
3 - 1
FRA
76%
14%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1921 |
FRA
1 - 2
ITA
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1920 |
CSK
4 - 1
FRA
59%
20%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1920 |
FRA
3 - 1
ITA
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1920 |
FRA
2 - 1
BEL
45%
22%
33%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1921 |
DEN
1 - 1
NED
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1921 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
59%
19%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1921 |
NED
2 - 2
ITA
75%
15%
11%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
NED
2 - 0
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1920 |
ESP
3 - 1
NED
47%
22%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |