France vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1968 |
FRA
1 - 1
BRD
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
YUG
5 - 1
FRA
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1968 |
FRA
1 - 1
YUG
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1967 |
FRA
3 - 1
LUX
79%
12%
9%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1967 |
FRA
1 - 1
BEL
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
TOG
1 - 1
GUI
43%
22%
35%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1968 |
GUI
1 - 3
BFA
71%
15%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
GUI
3 - 1
BFA
69%
16%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
BFA
2 - 0
GUI
43%
21%
36%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1967 |
SLE
2 - 1
GUI
51%
20%
28%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |