France vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRA
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1961 |
FRA
1 - 1
BEL
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
FRA
3 - 0
BGR
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
SWE
1 - 0
FRA
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
SUI
6 - 2
FRA
45%
22%
33%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1961 |
SWE
4 - 0
FIN
90%
7%
3%
|
43 | 86 | 43 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1961 |
FIN
4 - 1
NOR
37%
21%
42%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 1961 |
FIN
0 - 2
BGR
36%
22%
42%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
DDR
5 - 1
FIN
24%
22%
55%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
FIN
1 - 2
FRA
33%
22%
46%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |