France vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.2%
Win probability
4.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.6%
6-0
6.3%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.4%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.1%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
4.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.8%
1.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
SWE
1 - 3
FRA
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
USA
0 - 6
FRA
2%
16%
82%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
CSK
2 - 0
FRA
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
FRA
3 - 0
LUX
86%
11%
4%
|
86 | 44 | 42 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1978 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
43%
28%
29%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
BMU
1 - 3
USA
45%
23%
33%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
USA
0 - 6
FRA
2%
16%
82%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
USA
1 - 4
SUN
12%
22%
66%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
USA
1 - 3
SUN
13%
23%
64%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
USA
91%
7%
3%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |