France vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1997 |
FRA
2 - 1
SCO
72%
18%
10%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
FRA
2 - 1
RSA
93%
6%
1%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
FRA
2 - 2
ITA
53%
26%
21%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1997 |
FRA
0 - 1
ENG
50%
26%
24%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1997 |
FRA
1 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1997 |
ESP
1 - 1
ROU
66%
20%
13%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
ESP
3 - 1
FRO
95%
4%
1%
|
96 | 57 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
SVK
1 - 2
ESP
9%
20%
72%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
ESP
1 - 0
CZE
90%
8%
3%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
YUG
1 - 1
ESP
44%
26%
30%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |