France vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
FRA
3 - 0
BEL
48%
21%
31%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
GER
3 - 3
FRA
72%
15%
13%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1933 |
FRA
0 - 4
AUT
28%
21%
51%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
ROU
6 - 3
FRA
71%
15%
14%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1932 |
BGR
3 - 5
FRA
65%
17%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 0
POR
67%
17%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
ESP
2 - 1
YUG
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1931 |
IRL
0 - 5
ESP
42%
23%
35%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1931 |
ENG
7 - 1
ESP
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
ESP
1 - 1
IRL
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |