France vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1927 |
FRA
3 - 3
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1927 |
POR
4 - 0
FRA
63%
18%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1926 |
BEL
2 - 2
FRA
69%
16%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1926 |
FRA
4 - 1
YUG
88%
8%
4%
|
65 | 13 | 52 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1926 |
AUT
4 - 1
FRA
72%
15%
13%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1927 |
ESP
1 - 0
SUI
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1926 |
ESP
4 - 2
HUN
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1925 |
HUN
0 - 1
ESP
61%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1925 |
AUT
0 - 1
ESP
57%
21%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1925 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |