France vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1922 |
FRA
2 - 1
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1921 |
FRA
0 - 5
NED
38%
23%
39%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1921 |
BEL
3 - 1
FRA
76%
14%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1921 |
FRA
1 - 2
ITA
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1920 |
CSK
4 - 1
FRA
59%
20%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1921 |
ESP
3 - 1
POR
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1921 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEL
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1920 |
ESP
3 - 1
NED
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1920 |
ESP
2 - 0
ITA
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1920 |
ESP
2 - 1
SWE
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |