France vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
NLD
1 - 2
FRA
44%
25%
31%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
DEU
2 - 1
FRA
42%
24%
34%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 0
IRL
83%
13%
5%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 0
GRC
84%
12%
4%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
GIB
0 - 3
FRA
6%
18%
76%
|
95 | 40 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
SCT
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
SCT
1 - 3
ENG
12%
20%
68%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CYP
0 - 3
SCT
15%
24%
60%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
SCT
2 - 0
GEO
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
SCT
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |