France vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
YUG
3 - 2
FRA
82%
11%
8%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
FRA
7 - 3
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1958 |
FRA
0 - 0
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1958 |
FRA
2 - 2
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1957 |
FRA
2 - 2
BGR
74%
15%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
PAR
3 - 2
SCO
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
YUG
1 - 1
SCO
78%
12%
9%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1958 |
POL
1 - 2
SCO
37%
23%
40%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1958 |
SCO
1 - 1
HUN
17%
19%
64%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1958 |
SCO
0 - 4
ENG
28%
22%
49%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |