France vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
BRD
2 - 1
FRA
82%
12%
5%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
FRA
3 - 1
GRC
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1973 |
SUN
2 - 0
FRA
74%
17%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1973 |
FRA
1 - 1
IRL
69%
18%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
FRA
1 - 2
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
DEN
2 - 2
HUN
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
NOR
0 - 1
DEN
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1973 |
DEN
1 - 0
NOR
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1973 |
CSK
6 - 0
DEN
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1973 |
DEN
1 - 1
CSK
42%
26%
31%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |