France vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
BEL
54%
23%
24%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
URU
0 - 2
FRA
34%
25%
41%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
4 - 3
ARG
50%
24%
27%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
DEN
0 - 0
FRA
25%
25%
50%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
PER
69%
19%
12%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 1
ENG
34%
25%
41%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
RUS
2 - 2
CRO
33%
25%
42%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 1
DEN
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
ISL
1 - 2
CRO
19%
23%
58%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
ARG
0 - 3
CRO
59%
22%
20%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | +1 |