France vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
FRA
5 - 0
EGY
84%
12%
4%
|
99 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
ISR
1 - 2
FRA
19%
23%
58%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
FRA
6 - 0
MLT
84%
12%
4%
|
99 | 57 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
FRA
0 - 2
CZE
75%
17%
8%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
FRA
3 - 0
YUG
68%
20%
12%
|
99 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
64%
23%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
HND
58%
23%
19%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
KOR
0 - 0
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2003 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
HND
1 - 0
COL
36%
27%
36%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |