France vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
POL
0 - 1
FRA
25%
26%
49%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
UKR
1 - 4
FRA
25%
27%
48%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 1
FRA
16%
24%
60%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 0
CRO
52%
26%
23%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
LUX
0 - 2
FRA
11%
22%
67%
|
97 | 39 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
VEN
69%
19%
12%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
PER
70%
18%
11%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
URU
1 - 1
CHI
47%
25%
29%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
MEX
32%
24%
44%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
CHI
41%
28%
32%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |