France vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
45%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1931 |
ITA
5 - 0
FRA
77%
13%
10%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1930 |
BRA
3 - 2
FRA
72%
15%
13%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1930 |
CHI
1 - 0
FRA
53%
20%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
1 - 0
FRA
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
HUN
1 - 1
CSK
56%
20%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1930 |
BEL
2 - 3
CSK
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1930 |
CSK
2 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1930 |
FRA
2 - 3
CSK
32%
24%
45%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1930 |
CSK
1 - 1
HUN
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |