France vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
FRA
0 - 0
SUN
42%
28%
30%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
2 - 2
FRA
77%
17%
7%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1977 |
ARG
0 - 0
FRA
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1977 |
SUI
0 - 4
FRA
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1977 |
IRL
1 - 0
FRA
38%
25%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
BGR
0 - 0
GRC
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
IRL
0 - 0
BGR
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
BGR
3 - 1
TUR
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
BGR
2 - 1
IRL
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
BGR
3 - 1
DEN
62%
20%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |