France vs Belarus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
FIN
0 - 1
FRA
14%
23%
63%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
FRA
0 - 0
URU
51%
25%
24%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRA
65%
20%
15%
|
95 | 99 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2012 |
SWE
2 - 0
FRA
24%
24%
52%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
UKR
0 - 2
FRA
14%
21%
65%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
GEO
1 - 0
BLR
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
ARM
1 - 2
BLR
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
BLR
1 - 1
LTU
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MDA
0 - 0
BLR
28%
28%
45%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 1
LBY
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |