France vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
SWE
0 - 0
FRA
33%
28%
38%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
RUS
1 - 0
FRA
18%
25%
57%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1998 |
FRA
3 - 3
NOR
74%
17%
9%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1998 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
54%
24%
22%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1997 |
FRA
2 - 1
SCT
72%
18%
10%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
BEL
1 - 1
ROU
50%
25%
25%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
BEL
2 - 2
NOR
55%
24%
21%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1998 |
BEL
2 - 0
USA
68%
20%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1997 |
BEL
2 - 1
IRL
57%
23%
20%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1997 |
IRL
1 - 1
BEL
42%
27%
32%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |