France vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
BRD
1 - 3
FRA
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1954 |
FRA
3 - 2
MEX
56%
20%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1954 |
YUG
1 - 0
FRA
75%
14%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
BEL
3 - 3
FRA
62%
18%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
FRA
1 - 3
ITA
43%
23%
34%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 3
NED
74%
14%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BEL
2 - 0
GER
42%
21%
37%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
ITA
4 - 1
BEL
76%
14%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
ENG
4 - 4
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
BEL
3 - 3
FRA
62%
18%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |