France vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
BEL
4 - 1
FRA
57%
19%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1950 |
FRA
0 - 1
SCO
45%
22%
34%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
YUG
3 - 2
FRA
67%
16%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
FRA
1 - 1
YUG
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
YUG
1 - 1
FRA
68%
16%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
BEL
4 - 1
FRA
57%
19%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1950 |
BEL
1 - 4
ENG
28%
20%
52%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1950 |
BEL
5 - 1
IRL
57%
19%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
BEL
2 - 0
NED
46%
20%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
ITA
3 - 1
BEL
83%
10%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |