France vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1937 |
FRA
0 - 0
ITA
33%
24%
43%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1937 |
NED
2 - 3
FRA
72%
14%
13%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
FRA
2 - 1
SUI
61%
19%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1937 |
FRA
0 - 2
IRL
51%
21%
28%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
GER
4 - 0
FRA
76%
13%
11%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1937 |
ROU
2 - 1
BEL
72%
15%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1937 |
YUG
1 - 1
BEL
63%
17%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
GER
1 - 0
BEL
78%
12%
10%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
1 - 2
SUI
67%
17%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |