France vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1938 |
FRA
2 - 4
ENG
28%
21%
51%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1938 |
FRA
6 - 1
BGR
57%
19%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
FRA
5 - 3
BEL
59%
19%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1937 |
FRA
0 - 0
ITA
33%
24%
43%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1937 |
NED
2 - 3
FRA
72%
14%
13%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1938 |
BEL
2 - 2
YUG
59%
19%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1938 |
ITA
6 - 1
BEL
80%
12%
9%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
SUI
0 - 3
BEL
63%
17%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
35%
21%
44%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
LUX
2 - 3
BEL
48%
20%
32%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |