France vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
FRA
3 - 3
SUI
56%
20%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
POR
2 - 0
FRA
66%
17%
17%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
BEL
4 - 1
FRA
68%
16%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1929 |
FRA
1 - 3
YUG
89%
8%
4%
|
61 | 18 | 43 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1929 |
FRA
1 - 4
ENG
28%
22%
50%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1929 |
BEL
4 - 1
FRA
68%
16%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1929 |
BEL
1 - 5
ENG
38%
22%
40%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1929 |
BEL
3 - 1
NED
46%
22%
32%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1929 |
NED
4 - 0
BEL
67%
17%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1928 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
68%
17%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |