France vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
34%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
SUI
4 - 3
FRA
64%
18%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1927 |
HUN
13 - 1
FRA
74%
14%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1927 |
FRA
0 - 6
ENG
28%
22%
50%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1927 |
FRA
1 - 4
ESP
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1927 |
FRA
3 - 3
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
BEL
1 - 0
NED
47%
22%
31%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
70%
16%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
BEL
2 - 4
IRL
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1928 |
BEL
1 - 2
AUT
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1927 |
SWE
7 - 0
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |