France vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1920 |
SUI
0 - 2
FRA
53%
21%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1920 |
ITA
9 - 4
FRA
63%
19%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1919 |
BEL
2 - 2
FRA
74%
14%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1914 |
HUN
5 - 1
FRA
76%
14%
11%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1914 |
ITA
2 - 0
FRA
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1919 |
BEL
2 - 2
FRA
74%
14%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1914 |
NED
4 - 2
BEL
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1914 |
BEL
2 - 4
NED
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1914 |
FRA
4 - 3
BEL
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1913 |
BEL
6 - 2
GER
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |