France vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1905 |
BEL
7 - 0
FRA
57%
20%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1905 |
FRA
1 - 0
SUI
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1904 |
BEL
3 - 3
FRA
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1905 |
NED
4 - 0
BEL
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1905 |
BEL
7 - 0
FRA
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1905 |
BEL
1 - 4
NED
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1904 |
BEL
3 - 3
FRA
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |