France vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1964 |
BEL
3 - 0
FRA
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1964 |
FRA
1 - 0
NOR
78%
13%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
LUX
0 - 2
FRA
37%
21%
42%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1964 |
HUN
2 - 1
FRA
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1964 |
FRA
1 - 3
HUN
24%
21%
55%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
AUT
1 - 0
SUN
68%
17%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
AUT
3 - 2
YUG
43%
23%
34%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1964 |
AUT
0 - 2
URU
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
AUT
1 - 0
HUN
29%
22%
50%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
NED
1 - 1
AUT
45%
22%
33%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |