France vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1956 |
ITA
2 - 0
FRA
74%
15%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1955 |
BEL
2 - 1
FRA
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1955 |
FRA
1 - 1
YUG
47%
22%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
SUN
2 - 2
FRA
31%
20%
49%
|
78 | 24 | 54 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
SUI
1 - 2
FRA
51%
20%
29%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1955 |
WAL
1 - 2
AUT
38%
22%
40%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
AUT
2 - 1
YUG
58%
19%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
HUN
6 - 1
AUT
86%
9%
6%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1955 |
AUT
1 - 4
SCO
68%
17%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
SUI
2 - 3
AUT
44%
21%
34%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |