France vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
50.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1936 |
FRA
1 - 0
YUG
62%
18%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
FRA
3 - 0
BEL
58%
19%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
FRA
0 - 3
CSK
39%
23%
38%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
FRA
1 - 6
NED
42%
21%
38%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
FRA
2 - 0
SWE
32%
21%
47%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1936 |
SUI
1 - 3
AUT
31%
21%
49%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
HUN
5 - 3
AUT
49%
20%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1936 |
ITA
2 - 1
AUT
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1936 |
POL
1 - 3
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1936 |
PER
4 - 2
AUT
29%
21%
50%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | -1 |