France vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
55.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 0
NGA
72%
19%
9%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
ECU
0 - 0
FRA
24%
23%
53%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
SUI
2 - 5
FRA
26%
24%
50%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
3 - 0
HND
74%
18%
9%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
8 - 0
JAM
80%
15%
4%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
GER
2 - 1
ALG
92%
6%
2%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
USA
0 - 1
GER
14%
17%
69%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
GER
2 - 2
GHA
90%
8%
2%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
GER
4 - 0
POR
61%
20%
19%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
GER
6 - 1
ARM
92%
7%
1%
|
95 | 72 | 23 | 0 |