France vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
44.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
FRA
1 - 2
CSK
32%
23%
45%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1931 |
ITA
5 - 0
FRA
77%
13%
10%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1930 |
BRA
3 - 2
FRA
72%
15%
13%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1930 |
CHI
1 - 0
FRA
53%
20%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
GER
1 - 1
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
GER
5 - 3
HUN
51%
21%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1930 |
DEN
6 - 3
GER
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1930 |
GER
3 - 3
ENG
41%
22%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
SUI
0 - 5
GER
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |