France vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
15.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
5 - 2
FRA
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1958 |
FRA
4 - 0
NIR
83%
10%
7%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
FRA
2 - 1
SCO
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
YUG
3 - 2
FRA
82%
11%
8%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
FRA
7 - 3
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1958 |
BRD
1 - 3
SWE
63%
19%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1958 |
BRD
1 - 0
YUG
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
BRD
2 - 2
NIR
85%
9%
6%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
BRD
2 - 2
CSK
74%
14%
11%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
ARG
1 - 3
BRD
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |