France vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
FRA
0 - 2
ESP
31%
26%
43%
|
98 | 100 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 1
IRL
73%
18%
9%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
IRL
0 - 1
FRA
14%
21%
66%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
FRA
3 - 1
AUT
70%
20%
10%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
FRA
5 - 0
FRO
78%
16%
6%
|
99 | 54 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ARG
3 - 2
CRC
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 97 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2009 |
URU
1 - 1
CRC
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CRC
0 - 1
URU
25%
23%
52%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
USA
2 - 2
CRC
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CRC
4 - 0
TTO
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | +1 |