Finland vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
54.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 1
DDR
23%
27%
51%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 4
POL
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
POL
1 - 1
FIN
86%
11%
4%
|
59 | 89 | 30 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1983 |
DDR
3 - 1
FIN
85%
12%
4%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1982 |
SUN
2 - 0
FIN
86%
11%
3%
|
59 | 92 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1983 |
POL
1 - 1
SUN
46%
26%
28%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1983 |
AUT
2 - 2
SUN
43%
27%
29%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
SUN
5 - 0
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
SUI
0 - 1
SUN
23%
28%
50%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
FRA
1 - 1
SUN
38%
28%
34%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |