Finland vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
SVN
1 - 1
FIN
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
GER
2 - 0
FIN
86%
11%
4%
|
75 | 94 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
POL
1 - 1
FIN
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1999 |
CYP
2 - 1
FIN
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1999 |
GRC
2 - 1
FIN
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
TUR
2 - 0
MDA
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
TUR
1 - 3
FIN
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
TUR
1 - 0
GER
22%
27%
51%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
TUR
3 - 0
NIR
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
RUS
1 - 0
TUR
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |