Finland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
48.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1988 |
CSK
0 - 2
FIN
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
FIN
3 - 0
CSK
24%
29%
46%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | +2 |
| 28 May. 1987 |
FIN
2 - 3
BRA
14%
25%
60%
|
62 | 95 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1987 |
FIN
0 - 1
DEN
23%
25%
53%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1987 |
WAL
4 - 0
FIN
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1988 |
DDR
1 - 4
SWE
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
ITA
2 - 1
SWE
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1987 |
BRD
1 - 1
SWE
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
SWE
0 - 1
POR
56%
26%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
SWE
1 - 0
DEN
51%
27%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |