Finland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1986 |
SUN
0 - 0
FIN
81%
14%
5%
|
61 | 92 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
3 - 0
FIN
84%
12%
4%
|
61 | 94 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1986 |
KSA
0 - 1
FIN
72%
17%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1986 |
BHR
0 - 4
FIN
46%
25%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1986 |
BHR
0 - 0
FIN
48%
22%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1986 |
AUT
1 - 0
SWE
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1986 |
SWE
0 - 0
GRC
70%
20%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
MLT
1 - 2
SWE
1%
14%
85%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
CSK
2 - 1
SWE
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1985 |
SWE
2 - 2
BRD
23%
26%
50%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |