Finland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
55.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1983 |
DEN
3 - 0
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 1
SUN
19%
26%
55%
|
59 | 92 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 1
DDR
23%
27%
51%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 4
POL
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
POL
1 - 1
FIN
86%
11%
4%
|
59 | 89 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
ISL
0 - 4
SWE
13%
19%
68%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1983 |
SWE
3 - 3
BRA
17%
25%
57%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1983 |
SWE
0 - 1
ROU
54%
26%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
SWE
2 - 0
ITA
30%
29%
41%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
SWE
5 - 0
CYP
91%
7%
3%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |