Finland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
BRD
7 - 1
FIN
90%
9%
2%
|
58 | 94 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
FIN
2 - 1
ALB
52%
21%
27%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1981 |
FIN
1 - 2
DEN
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 0
FIN
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1981 |
FIN
3 - 1
NOR
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1981 |
KSA
1 - 2
SWE
9%
21%
70%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
POR
1 - 2
SWE
54%
26%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
GRC
2 - 1
SWE
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
SCO
2 - 0
SWE
59%
24%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 0
BGR
61%
24%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |