Finland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
63%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1980 |
URU
6 - 0
FIN
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1980 |
BOL
2 - 2
FIN
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
BOL
3 - 0
FIN
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
FIN
0 - 2
AUT
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
ALB
2 - 0
FIN
63%
19%
19%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
ISR
0 - 0
SWE
40%
27%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1980 |
NIR
3 - 0
SWE
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
BGR
2 - 3
SWE
42%
27%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1980 |
SWE
0 - 1
SCO
48%
27%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
HUN
2 - 0
SWE
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |