Finland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
49.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1960 |
FIN
3 - 2
BRD
25%
20%
56%
|
43 | 81 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1959 |
BRD
2 - 1
FIN
82%
10%
7%
|
43 | 82 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
POL
6 - 2
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
FIN
1 - 3
POL
48%
21%
32%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
DEN
4 - 0
FIN
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1960 |
SWE
4 - 1
IRL
83%
11%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
IRL
3 - 2
SWE
37%
22%
41%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1959 |
ENG
2 - 3
SWE
66%
17%
17%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
SWE
6 - 2
NOR
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1959 |
SWE
3 - 1
FIN
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |