Finland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
44%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1953 |
FIN
2 - 4
BEL
45%
20%
35%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
FIN
2 - 1
DEN
43%
22%
36%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
FIN
1 - 8
SWE
34%
21%
45%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1952 |
NOR
7 - 2
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1952 |
FIN
4 - 0
CHN
45%
21%
34%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1953 |
SWE
2 - 4
HUN
53%
19%
28%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1953 |
DEN
1 - 3
SWE
49%
21%
30%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1953 |
SWE
1 - 0
FRA
81%
11%
8%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1953 |
SWE
2 - 3
BEL
83%
10%
7%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1953 |
SCO
1 - 2
SWE
49%
22%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |