Finland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1924 |
FIN
2 - 4
TUR
52%
22%
27%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1923 |
EST
2 - 1
FIN
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1923 |
FIN
5 - 3
POL
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1923 |
HUN
3 - 1
FIN
77%
13%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1923 |
AUT
2 - 1
FIN
69%
17%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1924 |
SWE
5 - 2
EST
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1924 |
SWE
5 - 0
EGY
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1924 |
DEN
2 - 3
SWE
64%
19%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1924 |
SWE
3 - 1
NED
47%
22%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1924 |
SUI
2 - 1
SWE
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |