Finland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1920 |
SWE
4 - 0
FIN
76%
14%
10%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1919 |
FIN
3 - 3
SWE
51%
22%
27%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1919 |
SWE
1 - 0
FIN
76%
14%
10%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1914 |
SWE
4 - 3
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 1912 |
NED
9 - 0
FIN
83%
11%
7%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1920 |
ESP
2 - 1
SWE
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1920 |
NED
5 - 4
SWE
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
SWE
9 - 0
GRC
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1920 |
NOR
0 - 3
SWE
46%
23%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1920 |
SWE
0 - 1
SUI
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |